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5/9/2005
“24″ SPECULATIONFEST
CATEGORY: "24"

The entries are in for the best, the looniest, and the funniest speculation for tonight’s episode from my “24 Till 24″ post. And the winners are:

SPECULATION MOST LIKELY TO GET A LAUGH:

Winner: Van Helsing
Speculation: Who Richard Heller told about his dad’s visit

Meanwhile, it will be revealed that Sec. of Defense Heller’s son was secretly in contact with KIM BAUER (hey, we’ve got to get Kim back somehow) who in her usual way blabbed the information to parties that were monitoring her phone conversations.

Remember poor Richard? I spent about three weeks speculating who he told about his dad’s visit to his house when Secretary Heller tried to talk him out of going to the anti-war demonstration. Then the writers dropped it, the bastards.

As for Kim Bauer, ever since she starred as a porn queen in that movie I can’t remember the title for, I’ve ached to have her back on the show but alas, I don’t think that is to be.

SPECULATION MOST LIKELY TO ELICIT A GROAN

Winner: Diamond
Speculation: How CTU will stop the nuke

Now as to how to stop the nuke. Could it be that someone inside the operation to damage America actually gets cold feet and his over riding love of country makes him act in his and his families own interest and he F****up the plans with Jacks help?

Diamond, (who’s other comments are intelligent and thoughtful) jumped the shark on this one. I will say if that speculation comes true, I’m gonna throw my popcorn at the screen!

MOST IMAGINATIVE SPECULATION

Winner: Scott
Speculation: Tony is the Mole!

Wild, but still a possibility. Is Marwan that clever, that he’d get to Tony before Jack needed him? Yes he’s proven that in the past. So it’s not impossible.

However, I think we’re looking for someone in the defense establishment here because of one overriding piece of evidence; the transponder code for the football. Only someone high up could have gotten that for Marwan.

CONSENSUS SPECULATION

Paul is dead. (If you play the videotape backwards, you can hear Jack say “Paul is dead” 7 times)

The nuke will not detonate on US soil (Oh, my naive readers! Of course it will. Probably not on a city though. I like Tim Mcfall’s guess here: The nuke will be detonated in the atmosphere off the East coast after Jack, while not able to prevent its launch does change its direction.

As for the mole hunt, we have 2 Audrey’s, 1 Tony, 1 Walter Cummings, with The Maryhunter giving us Mike Novik and Paul Raines (dead, remember?) as possibles.

We may find out tonight although more likely the last night where I guarantee you will sh*t in your pants at least 4 times over the two hour finale.

SPECULATION MOST LIKELY TO CAUSE YOU TO LOSE YOUR COOKIES

Winner: The Maryhunter
Speculation: I can’t even write it without gagging…

Bonus Speculation on FGE (fat geek Edgar) and Chloe: some koochey-koo (or at least a tender moment) when Chloe finally freaks out at the end of the show for killing that guy and Edgar comforts her, even as he weeps for his dead ma.

FGE and Chloe: definitely made for each other, complementary halves of the same yummy geek pie.

Puhleez!

Thanks to all for playing. Come again next Sunday night for another edition of “24 Till 24.”

By: Rick Moran at 5:12 pm | Permalink | Comments & Trackbacks (0)

GLOBAL WARMING: NO DISSENTERS NEED APPLY
CATEGORY: Science

Everyone agrees that global warming is real and that unless we do something soon our descendents will experience radical climate change that will destroy human civilization and send us back to the stone age, right?

Not quite:

Two of the world’s leading scientific journals have come under fire from researchers for refusing to publish papers which challenge fashionable wisdom over global warming.

A British authority on natural catastrophes who disputed whether climatologists really agree that the Earth is getting warmer because of human activity, says his work was rejected by the American publication, Science, on the flimsiest of grounds

A separate team of climate scientists, which was regularly used by Science and the journal Nature to review papers on the progress of global warming, said it was dropped after attempting to publish its own research which raised doubts over the issue.

The controversy has erupted over an article published in Science Magazine by Dr Naomi Oreskes that purports to show almost universal agreement among climatologists over global warming being a genuine phenomenom and that mankind is indeed to blame.

Unfortunately for Dr. Oreskes, she um, didn’t quite tell the truth:

However, her unequivocal conclusions immediately raised suspicions among other academics, who knew of many papers that dissented from the pro-global warming line.

They included Dr Benny Peiser, a senior lecturer in the science faculty at Liverpool John Moores University, who decided to conduct his own analysis of the same set of 1,000 documents - and concluded that only one third backed the consensus view, while only one per cent did so explicitly.

Dr Peiser submitted his findings to Science in January, and was asked to edit his paper for publication - but has now been told that his results have been rejected on the grounds that the points he makes had been “widely dispersed on the internet”.

Dr. Peiser thought that Science should publish the paper anyway. “As the results from my analysis refuted the original claims, I believe Science has a duty to publish them.”

This isn’t the only instance of global warming dissenters being shut out of legitimate scientific debate. Via Little Green Footballs we get this remarkable story from Canada. It seems that a group of scientists have made a documentary debunking global warming but are unable to get the show aired in Canada:

The numbers of scientists staggered me–17,100 basic and applied American scientists, two thirds with advanced degrees, are against the Kyoto Agreement. The Heidelberg Appeal–which states that there is no scientific evidence for man-made global warming, has been signed by over 4,000 scientists from around the world since the petition’s inception. I strongly questioned these high numbers, since I’ve had benefit of the Canadian government’s public relations machine on this issue. Dr. Leahey has since sent documentation to back his figures up.

All those scientists were in total agreement: the Kyoto Protocol was complete fiction.

The forces arrayed against dissenters are formidable. What’s at stake are hundreds of millions of dollars - perhaps billions - in research grants from governments and various NGO’s (Non-Governmental Organizations) who have a vested interest in seeing the Kyoto Accords ratified by the world’s scientific community. With that kind of money floating around as well as the reputation and prestige of scientists on the line who’ve gone out on a limb to endorse the theory, it shouldn’t be much of a surprise that dissenters are having trouble getting their viewpoints before the public and hence policy makers.

The third world has a huge stake in Kyoto in that they are not only immune from its requirements, they will be able to profit from the agreement because they will be able to “sell” emission credits to industrialized countries that can’t meet Kyoto’s stringent standards. Since the US has the farthest to go to meet the Kyoto target emissions, it could end up costing US taxpayers up to $800 billion dollars over the life of the agreement.

In short, Kyoto is nothing less than a massive transfer of wealth scheme from the industrialized world to impoverished and corrupt third world kleptocracies. No wonder one of its major supporters is that noted environmentalist and humanitarian Fidel Castro.

What are the pro-Kyoto scientists afraid of? Peer review is the lifeblood of scientific advancement. Unless your theories can stand up to the challenges of your peers, their not worth the paper they’re printed on. And with climate models, CO2 projections, and other greehouse gas emission predictions being so wildly off target the last few years, it may be that the proponents of the theory are just not up to the task of defending their work.

All they’re doing is defeating their own purpose. The US is never going to ratify Kyoto unless it’s amended to include China, the biggest polluter on the planet today, under its restrictive protocols. Even then, unless real debate is allowed, it’s doubtful that Kyoto has much of a future.

By: Rick Moran at 11:35 am | Permalink | Comments & Trackbacks (7)

BUSH: A SOLITARY VOICE FOR REMEMBRANCE

An orgy of remembrance took place all across Europe this last weekend as the continent’s increasingly passive and pacific countries celebrated the very war-like achievements of their grandfathers in tossing the regime of Adolph Hitler and all it stood for on the ash heap of history. Even France, where 2.5 million men of its armed forces never fired a shot in anger before their cowardly government surrendered thus leaving the British to face the Nazi onslaught alone, celebrated the end of World War II, confident in the knowledge that no one would bring up uncomfortable truths like their collaboration with Hitler or the myths surrounding the small minority of citizens who were actually involved in the resistance.

Where the French are concerned, some things are just better left unsaid lest Gallic huffiness spoil a good party.

Even George Bush was silent about the duplicitous French whose wartime actions as “ally” included armed resistance to the American landings in North Africa, handing tens of thousands of European Jews who had taken refuge in “unoccupied” France over to the tender mercies of the Nazi death merchants, and saddling the western world for a generation after the war with the prickly personality and insufferable haughtiness of Charles De Gaulle.

While the President may be faulted for his selective memory where the French are concerned, he should receive the thanks and admiration from all of us for being the only world leader to recall one of the immediate and proximate causes of the war; the Nazi-Soviet Pact signed a scant 2 days before the outbreak of Hitler’s unprovoked attack on Poland.

The fact that Bush spoke of this agreement in Latvia, one of the Baltic states that both Hitler and Stalin coveted is significant in that he connected the brutality of Hitler with the perfidy of Stalin and the Soviet Union in a way that’s rarely been done by an American President:

But in his speech, Mr. Bush indirectly acknowledged that the United States and Britain shared some blame for the annexation of the Baltics, noting that the 1945 Yalta agreement, in which Europe was carved up by Roosevelt, Churchill and Stalin, was in an “unjust tradition” of earlier treaties like the Munich and Molotov-Ribbentrop pacts.

“Once again, when powerful governments negotiated, the freedom of small nations was somehow expendable,” Mr. Bush said. “Yet this attempt to sacrifice freedom for the sake of stability left a continent divided and unstable. The captivity of millions in Central and Eastern Europe will be remembered as one of the greatest wrongs of history.”

And Bush recalled the spirit of defiance of the Baltic states following Stalin’s occupation for their own “protection” following the Nazi-Soviet Pact:

The Baltic states had no role in starting World War II. The battle came here because of a secret pact between dictators. And when the war came, many in this region showed their courage. After a puppet government ordered the Latvian fleet to return to port, sailors on eight freighters chose to remain at sea under the flag of free Latvia, assisting the United States Merchant Marine in carrying supplies across the Atlantic. A newspaper in the state of South Carolina described the Latvian crew this way: “They all have beards and dressed so differently… They are … exhausted, but full of fighting spirit.”

By the end of the war, six of the Latvian ships had been sunk, and more than half the sailors had been lost. Nearly all of the survivors settled in America, and became citizens we were proud to call our own. One American town renamed a street Ciltvaira — to honor a sunken ship that sailed under a free Latvian flag. My country has always been thankful for Latvia’s friendship, and Latvia will always have the friendship of America.

Curiously, this acknowledgment went unnoticed in the press who instead played up Bush’s “apology” for US inaction after Yalta to halt the spread of communism across eastern Europe.

The sad history of Batlic occupation is a direct result of Stalin’s greed and Hitler’s warped vision for Germany. Small German minorities in Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia allowed Hitler to cast a covetous eye toward the prosperous little countries while Stalin, ever the expansionist, had similar designs to incorporate them into his growing empire. But Hitler had a strategic problem of the first magnitude. Before he could gobble up the Baltics, he had to make sure his rear was secure. That meant a final showdown with France and Britain, the only two military powers that could challenge him in the west.

The problem arose because Stalin was nominally committed to come to the aid of France if she went to war with Germany. And Hitler’s plan to invade and occupy Poland would most surely trigger a response from France, goaded on by Britain. So Hitler needed to somehow separate Stalin from the west. He was fully prepared to invade Poland regardless of anything Stalin did, but realized a two front war would be as disastrous for him as it had been for the Kaiser.

Hitler scheduled the invasion of Poland to begin on August 26, 1939. But less than 24 hours before the Nazi blitzkrieg began to roll, Hitler evidently got cold feet. He recalled some of his forward units who had already moved up to the German-Polish frontier and delayed the strike for 72 hours.

The reason was Stalin. The Soviet Union was, as usual, in horrible shape economically. And on the 25th, German Foreign Minister Johann Von Ribbentrop had begun negotiations that promised Stalin not only gigantic deliveries of raw materials like coal and copper, but also grain, fodder, and meat stuffs for his perpetually starving country. All Stalin had to do was sit on the sidelines while Hitler dealt with, in order, the Poles, the French, and the British.

Stalin, a shameless opportunist and as two American Presidents could attest, a canny and tough negotiator, realized he had Hitler over a barrel and went for the gold. How about settling all of our differences? Poland, the Baltics, and the mutual defense pact with France could all be on the table.

Thus, in one of the most cynical deals in modern history, Hitler and Stalin carved up eastern Europe between them. For the third time in 500 years, Russia and Germany partitioned Poland with Hitler getting the prize port of Danzig as well as the bulk of Polish industrial production. Stalin, whose forces invaded Poland on September 22 with the excuse of protecting ethnic Russians in “a country that no longer existed,” got western Poland’s vast agricultural holdings as well as what he thought was a 1000 mile buffer between himself and Hitler’s Wehrmacht.

In addition, Hitler recognized Stalin’s “sphere of influence” in the Baltics and Finland while Stalin promised to do nothing to to fulfill his mutual defense obligations with France. Both dictators got exactly what they wanted. And both should be held equally responsible for the carnage and slaughter that followed. The treaty of “Friendship and Non-Aggression” was signed on August 29. Hitler invaded Poland on September 1.

There are some who argue that the Nazi-Soviet Pact was Stalin’s response to the Munich Agreement signed 2 years earlier where Britain and France colluded in the partition of Czechoslovakia, leaving the Soviet dictator to believe that both western democracies wanted Stalin to be the one to bear the brunt of stopping Hitler. He was right of course. But that doesn’t lessen Stalin’s culpability one whit. The fact is there was no reason for Stalin to insist on the partition of Poland nor the occupation of the Baltic States by Soviet troops. The last was pure greed on Stalin’s part. And his country was to pay for his greed and shortsightedness with the loss of more than 20 million Russians.

There was no mention of all of this in Moscow yesterday while Putin basked in the reflected glow of dozens of world leaders watching Russian troops carrying the old Hammer and Sickle flag while modern jets screamed overhead as a reminder of more recent Soviet military achievements. Until Russia comes to terms with its part in starting World War II instead of celebrating its role in ending it, the legacy and true meaning of that conflict will never be understood and the wrong lessons will be drawn from it.

This may be what Putin is after. Russian revanchism would complicate matters immensely both for the United States and the recently freed Baltic states. As they turn to the west, the question uppermost in their minds must be will we once again become the pawns in the deadly games played by big powers?

Hopefully George Bush’s speech eased some of those concerns.

Cross Posted at Blogger News Network

By: Rick Moran at 6:24 am | Permalink | Comments & Trackbacks (10)