Comments on: FRED ON THE MOVE IN SC: IS IT ENOUGH?

By: Dave Gordon

Dave Gordon — Fri, 18 Jan 2008 03:51:13 +0000

I don’t know if the question is whether or not Fred survives SC, but it’s more of a question of how long he can stay in the race and how much money he can raise after SC.

If this becomes a marathon (and I think it will go to convention unsettled), he’s better off than the other candidates because as I think the more he gets his message out, the better off he is. I think if he loses in SC, he plays “rope a dope” for the next few months and maybe takes a couple small states, but just manages to stay alive to get media coverage. I just don’t see a lot of anti-Fred out there as I do with the other four candidates (some more than others). His style his built for the long-run.

I’m a FredHead, so maybe I’m too optimistic, but that’s how I see it now. Then again, I don’t think he’ll do as poorly as predicted on Saturday.

By: brian williams

brian williams — Thu, 17 Jan 2008 23:53:51 +0000

Fred is the man we NEED SC!

By: Dennis

Dennis — Thu, 17 Jan 2008 23:11:57 +0000

You say in one breath that the polls lag by a couple of days. Fred has been building momentum and it is starting to show in the polls. Then, you say he has no chance of winning SC. We’ll see. My prediction is Thompson 28 - McCain 25 - Romney 19 - Huckabee 14 - Guliani 8 - Paul 6. Paul and Guliani could flip flop, but I see Thompson suprising you all.

Dennis

By: steveegg

steveegg — Thu, 17 Jan 2008 22:48:38 +0000

20-1 to win? If gambling on this wouldn’t make me ineligible to vote in Wisconsin’s primary, I’d take a flyer on that. I’d put more on place though.

By: Bill Mitchell, Raleigh, NC

Bill Mitchell, Raleigh, NC — Thu, 17 Jan 2008 21:36:00 +0000

Wow, is that the same Zogby who overestimated Ind/Dem turnout by 15% and the final numbers by 10%?

That Zogby? Oh yeah, let’s listen to HIM.

Rasmussen has SC almost within the margin of error for all 4 candidates.

By: The Commander Guy

The Commander Guy — Thu, 17 Jan 2008 21:05:19 +0000

Iâ€™d put Fredâ€™s odds of finishing 1st at 20-1. Finishing second at 3-1. And third at 2-1.

Well said. Now or Never.

I definitely think he will improve on his 1% showing in NH and 4% showing in MI.

With Huck out telling it like it is, I don’t think he can pull it out in SC. I’d put his odds at not falling asleep on the stump fairly high however…..just saying it can’t long before he reverts back to sleep mode.

By: michael reynolds

michael reynolds — Thu, 17 Jan 2008 20:15:00 +0000

Rick:
Well, it’s probably your influence, but I found myself making the case for Fred while talking politics with a fellow Dem the other day. McCain doesn’t gel with the conservatives, Mitt will turn off a significant portion of evangelicals in the general, Giuliani’s a Democrat on social issues and has an alarming tendency to drop the more he campaigns. And of course Huckabee’s a disgrace. The only guy not actively hated by some significant portion of the GOP is Fred. And he has the attraction of perhaps actually believing what he says. That’d be a novelty.

By: cheeseball

cheeseball — Thu, 17 Jan 2008 20:12:07 +0000

I’m one of those Evangelicals that everybody says in rooting for Huckabee…NOT! That guy is no conservative, and I think most conservatives see that pretty clearly. I have been for Fred! since I first heard he might run. I hope he does well in SC.

The biggest help Fred! could get would be an endorsement from El-Rushbo and Rush keeps saying he doesn’t endorse candidates in primary elections. I would hate to see Fred’s campaign go down in flames while Rush whistles on the sidelines.

By: Jay

Jay — Thu, 17 Jan 2008 19:54:50 +0000

Are we fooling ourselves with wishful thinking or do you have faith in your own analysis?

I’d put Fred’s odds of finishing 1st at 20-1. Finishing second at 3-1. And third at 2-1.

By: Rob

Rob — Thu, 17 Jan 2008 19:47:35 +0000

I won’t sell my soul for a Fred win (previous buyer with an even better deal), but my wife and I did contribute again and doubled our previous contribution. For us this approaches a food on the table deal, so we ain’t kidding about wanting Fred in the White House.

It is obvious that this has become a long march, not a blitz - for all the bunching up of primaries that has occured. I encourage Fred supporters to contribute AGAIN (and again and again).

I think that it is rather cool that Fred is managing a pay-as-you-go campaign. Maybe we could model Federal Spending that way? B-) Frederal. Heh…