Let us for a moment indulge the wildest fantasies of those on the left who want every soldier, sailor, and airman out of Iraq as quickly as transport could be rounded up to bring them home.
Let us further indulge the fantasy by patting our lefty friends on the back and congratulating them on coming up with a war winning strategy.
How’s that? No responsible nation would leave Iraq in the state that it is in now, would they? The consequences would be catastrophic – especially for Iraq’s neighbors.
Wait a minute…hold the phone. Aren’t Iraq’s neighbors Iran and Syria? Of course, Saudi Arabia is also a neighbor as is Turkey. But this is war. Sometimes allies or innocent bystanders have to suffer for the victory to come.
Besides, perhaps giving the Saudis a little taste of what their myopic and dangerous policies toward al-Qaeda has wrought wouldn’t be such a bad thing after all…
To indulge this fantasy, we would have to look at some of the fallout that would be the result of our immediate and precipitous pullout from Iraq.
Certainly the government would collapse and the men with guns would rule. It would be Somalia times ten. Sectarian violence would spiral completely out of control and militias would battle for turf. Millions might flee the country.
Where would they go? Here’s where the pain would be inflicted on Iran and Syria.
Shias would stream toward their co-religionists in Iran as would the Sunnis toward Syria – unless one or both countries were forced to intervene. As it stands now, the Syrians and Iranians will probably help us just enough to stabilize the security situation so that we would leave Iraq. But suppose we left the stabilization and security problems with them?
It would be Iran and Syria not only in a quagmire of their own making but also forced to deal with hundreds of thousands of refugees – unwanted visitors that the Saudis are already preparing for by building a massive wall that will separate the Kingdom from Iraq. And the Saudis wouldn’t remain untouched as they would be forced to watch the Sunni slaughter in Iraq. Such a horrific bloodletting would not sit well with their own population and could force the Kingdom to intervene themselves.
This would all be grossly irresponsible of the United States, of course. But do the Iranians know that? Are the Syrians sure that we’d never do it? Such a scenario hanging over the heads of diplomats during our coming talks with the terror states might make them a little more prone to cooperate.
It will never happen this way – but Iran and Syria would royally deserve to have to pick up the pieces in Iraq after they have done everything possible to destroy civil order and keep the country embroiled in violence.