My latest column is up at PJ Media. In it, I break down the numbers from last night’s primary win for Clinton and show why Democratic superdelegates should be worried:
Hillary Clinton received 62% of the white vote. Barack Obama received 89% of the African American vote. The question facing superdelegates is: how can they run a candidate who loses the white vote by almost 2-1 in a state they absolutely must carry to win the election? And it wasn’t just the voter’s race that made a difference. Clinton ran up astonishing majorities in the mostly white, mostly rural counties in the northeast part of the state. In Luzerne county she received 75% of the vote. She got 70% of the vote in Wyoming county. Culturally conservative but economically moderate, these blue collar voters in places like Scranton and Wilkes-Barre were considered at one time “Reagan Democrats” – reliable Democratic voters when it came to candidates on the down ballot but Republican when voting for President. In recent elections, they have returned to the Democratic party in greater numbers and have given the party a victory in the state in every election since 1988.These are the voters Barack Obama told his rich donor friends in San Francisco were “clinging” to religion and guns rather than voting what he feels are their economic interests. Indeed, Clinton bagged 58% of gun owners in the state while taking 58% of those who attend church weekly. Obama received 56% of the votes from those who never attend religious services.
There is no evidence that Obama’s San Francisco remarks cost him any votes. But they certainly didn’t win him any, and the comments may have reinforced the image with these rural white voters that Obama does not share their core values.
The religious divide also tells a story. For the first time since 1976, Democrats won the nationwide Catholic vote in 2006. This vote is vital in several northeastern states and is important in states that lie along an arc that extends from the shores of Lake Erie in New York down through the rest of the Great Lakes, all the way to Illinois and then up through Wisconsin, Michigan, and Minnesota. The Catholic vote is decisive in Pennsylvania with nearly 40% of the total vote last night made up of Catholics.
I don’t think the Democrats dare nominate Hillary now that it is a certainty that Obama will win the pledged delegate race. But it is still six weeks to the end of the primary season and Obama seems to be averaging a gaffe every couple of weeks. Perhaps he will really stick his foot in it at some point and force the supers to switch to Hillary.
But his handlers have scrapped the idea of any more debates and the candidate himself is dodging the press as if they all had ebola. Being thus shielded, all we will see of the candidate and read about are the issues he and his supporters wish to highlight.
Which “issues” are those? The adoring crowds. The spine tingling rhetoric. The fainting women. How charismatic he is.
You know…all those important issues the left was complaining weren’t covered at the ABC debate last week.
9:41 am
“... all we will see of [Obama] and read about are the issues he and his supporters wish to highlight.
Which “issues” are those? The adoring crowds. The spine tingling rhetoric. The fainting women. How charismatic he is. ...”
Don’t knock it, it worked well for Bill Clinton. Twice.
12:41 pm
Obama Pressed in Pa. Debate…
PHILADELPHIA, April 16—Sen. Barack Obama repeatedly found himself on the defensive here Wednesday…
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It is a fact that the Emperor is truly naked! And Barack Obama is the emptiest suit in a party full of uninhabited suits!
Bill Clinton was the last of the pre-Internet candidates. It’s a different world out there. Gaffes and misspeaking did spread quite so thoroughly as they do now and baseless calumnies (like the one being talked up about McCain at this moment) can be addressed and defused much more quickly. The problem both Obama and Hillary have is that their lies, evasions and exaggerations – not to mention their poor choices of friends and/or mentors – are coming back to bite them big time and seriously. And they so deserve it!
John McCain is not my dream candidate by any stretch of the imagination. BUT I am confident that he will protect and defend the United States of America and that is what matters in this post 9/11 world. While the Dems prefer to forget it ever happened, the grownups in the room both know that it did and intend it never happen again if we can help it.