Right Wing Nut House

8/5/2005

THE MARYHUNTER WEIGHS IN ON ID

Filed under: Ethics — Rick Moran @ 4:59 am

As promised, I will not say another word about the ID vs. Evolution debate. I wll however, publish in its entirety, a comment left by my blogbuddy, fellow “24″ fanatic, and Wide Awakes comrade The Maryhunter.

His is a muscular Christianity. He’s also a scientist. And besides that, goddamnit, he’s a helluva writer and makes some sense on this issue.

Thank you Rick, for launching this valuable debate, and the other commentators. I especially thank folks like Jay, Thomas (really spot on, Tom!), Cap’n Wolff, and my colleague Bergbikr, who held firm and argued their reasonable points against the buffets and spitting from those who dismiss ID as kookish at best, and scientific blasphemy at worst.

I am a molecular biologist, an honorary medical geneticist, and a dedicated Roman Catholic, who sees Genesis stories as just that: valuable myths told to Man by God about his origins, the right story at the right time. (Plenty of other cultures have their parallel creation stories, and all in context.) What has unfolded as Scientific Objectivity vis a vis Man’s growing capacity to understand his own vast domain called Universe has, basically since the enlightenment (give or take), increasingly striven to deny God a role in this Universe other than perhaps a silent observer. (Though Darwin and Einstein, the two fathers of 20th Century science, were fierce believers, if I’m not mistaken.)

To deny God a role in Creation is, for a Believer, illogical. And, there are ever so many believers out there… so what to do? Simply find that all believers must be illogical? Are we all wrong, because there is no “objective” proof of God’s existence? (Yea, and I’d like to see some objective proof for String Theory, or it’s latest mathematical enabler, Membrane Theory.) Or shall we believers simply hush up, go underground, pretend there is no God when it comes to Science?

Methinks we who care about this issue should, as Bergbikr suggests, go read Teilhard. Me also thinks, as Rick does, that biomedical science is clearly the very backbone of our economy ca. 21st Century.

However, as a scientist I see utterly no threat from ID. The argument that fundamentalist zealots will undermine science education is hogwash. Science is about being excited by your world and wanting to learn more. Both my children are terribly fascinated with their world, as my wife and I were as kids, and we both read plenty of Bible Stories as children… as ours do now.

Maybe it’s because I’m a Believer that I have faith in Mankind’s power to put the puzzle together in the ways that are necessary to cure cancers, better understand what genetics are behind predisposition to heart disease and stroke, help the Parkinson patient to walk again, create bioprocessors far faster than silicon chips, engineer crops to feed a hungry third world (if the freaking moonbats will let us do it, that is!).

And improbable as it may seem to some, I guarantee it’s true that none of this future technological glory will be threatened or precluded by a belief that God Himself intervened with that last, crucial step that got those monkeys to figure out that the bone was a tool, after all. Because that’s what I see this whole argument is about, after all: becoming human. And human pride.

Do I resent those who have summarily dismissed me and my brethren as ignoramii? Not really. The intellectual challenge is fun (more so when free of insults, but no matter). Rather, I am cheered to imagine God smiling down, watching with love and pride as we little humans, with all our egos, pick around His wondrous creation and piece the puzzle together, in between bickering.

I’m also pleased to know of so many biologists, physicians, chemists, engineers, and mathematicians who are Believers and even still don’t let it get in the way of their goal: to be the very best they can be at pushing back the frontiers of the Scientific Enterprise.

8/4/2005

A PERSONAL TIPPING POINT

Filed under: Ethics, War on Terror — Rick Moran @ 6:17 am

God, how I hate this war.

Even though I still believe that it was right decision to liberate Iraq. Even though I still support the reconstruction efforts going on in that tragic, bloody, terrorist infested, miserable strip of land where the killing goes on and on. And even though I still support the President and his announced policy of bringing democracy to Iraq in the belief that the autocratic and dictatorial regimes elsewhere in the Middle East will come crashing down as ordinary people realize that ultimate power rests in their hands.

After saying all of that, I now believe it’s time to bring to account those who through their brutish and beastial treatment of prisoners, have besmirched the name and reputation of the United States and brought shame and ignominy to their comrades in arms and their fellow citizens.

This piece in the Washington Post, based on eyewitness accounts, classified documents, and interviews with investigators, paints a picture so at odds with what America should stand for - even in a brutal war for survival - that it should give all of us who still support this war and its objectives pause to reflect on a fundamental question: Is this really what we want our soldiers doing in our names to protect us?

Iraqi Maj. Gen. Abed Hamed Mowhoush was being stubborn with his American captors, and a series of intense beatings and creative interrogation tactics were not enough to break his will. On the morning of Nov. 26, 2003, a U.S. Army interrogator and a military guard grabbed a green sleeping bag, stuffed Mowhoush inside, wrapped him in an electrical cord, laid him on the floor and began to go to work. Again.

It was inside the sleeping bag that the 56-year-old detainee took his last breath through broken ribs, lying on the floor beneath a U.S. soldier in Interrogation Room 6 in the western Iraqi desert. Two days before, a secret CIA-sponsored group of Iraqi paramilitaries, working with Army interrogators, had beaten Mowhoush nearly senseless, using fists, a club and a rubber hose, according to classified documents.

What this article makes crystal clear is that these methods of interrogation are not the product of the sick imaginings of a few sadistic soldiers. They did not spring into being in a vacuum. What the reports make unambiguously clear is that the soldiers believed the interrogation techniques were approved - approved at the highest levels in their chain of command.

The implications of this are too horrible to contemplate. It means that these are not the “isolated incidents” that I and most others who have been defending our detention policies over these many months have been excusing. It also means that there have been deliberate and systematic violations of both US law and the Geneva Conventions in the interrogations of prisoners.

And it means that those responsible for these policies must be brought to justice. Not just the perpetrators of the torture, but those who formulated and approved whatever guidelines the soldiers were using to justify these barbarous and unholy acts.

No matter where it leads. No matter who is involved. Justice must be done in order to restore some honor to the good name of the United States and its military. To do less dishonors the memory of those who have already died in this war as well as all those who we ask to put their lives on the line in order to protect us.

My own role as an enabler of this behavior has been unconscionable. By turning a blind eye to previous intimations of this organized and approved assault on simple human decency, I have, in a small but significant way, empowered those who have cynically used my support for the war and the President’s policies to literally get away with murder.

No longer. I am not going to give the benefit of doubt to an out of control interrogation process that treats human beings - even terrorists - as beasts to be beaten and murdered and pass it off as national policy. I didn’t sign on for that. I’m sure you didn’t either.

It’s one thing to be hard in war. It’s one thing to be pitiless in the prosecution of it. But its quite another thing to violate all tenets of civilized behavior in acheiving your objectives. Even in war, the ends cannot justify the means. If you believe that it does, then ask yourself what kind of country you will have at the end of it? Will it be the kind of country you can live in with pride? Or will history itself remember us with scorn and derision for abandoning the very principals we were fighting to protect.

There may be extreme circumstances where torture is justified. This incident wasn’t one of them. And if, as I now believe, these violations occur routinely and as part of a sanctioned interrogation process, then it is past time for a thorough, impartial, and independent investigation of the facilities where we house the prisoners, the soldiers and intelligence agents who carry out the questioning of detainees, and the interrogation policies and procedures formulated by the military and civilian elements in our government.

If the only way to make such an investigative body truly independent would be to allow international representation then reluctantly, I would have to agree with that stipulation. What’s at stake here is the very soul of America and in a larger sense, the values for which we in the west are fighting to preserve. And while I doubt such a body could remain above the political fray given the explosive nature of the subject matter and the division in our national polity, it must nevertheless go forward. Let the American people and indeed, the rest of the world decide who is playing politics and who is seeking the truth.

John Cole, who has been out front on this issue since reports of the torture and mistreatment of prisoners first began to surface, sums up the problems:

I really want to believe that this is just a few rogue soldiers in all of these cases, but the evidence keeps pointing back to approved interrogation techniques (and in fairness, much of this went well beyond approved methods), a sense of ‘anything goes’ because of the muddled legal status of the detainees, a general disregard in the chain of command, a chain of evidence linking policies to different detainment centers, willing participation by clandestine services working in concert** with military intelligence officers and being given free reign with prisoners and junior level enlisted men, and it stinks. It smells like institutional rot, and at the very least a pattern of negligence and callous disregard, something even the military appears willing to admit.

I’m forced to agree with Mr. Cole that what we’re looking at is nothing less than an institutional problem in the military. I cannot believe that all of these soldiers and CIA agents are members of some sadistic cult. They simply must be enabled by a culture that either approves of these methods or turns a blind eye during the practice of them. Either way, it’s high time we tear the whole rotten system down and put something else in its place. Anything - even turning the detainees over to civilian control - would be preferrable to this canker on the body politic that, if it continues to fester, will prevent us from winning this war and at the same time, inure us as a people to the brutality practiced by our sons and daughters in our name.

UPDATE

Attention trolls: I have an extremely thin skin on this issue. Any personal attacks, any off topic comments, any gloating, anything that I don’t much care for will be deleted and the commenter banned. You can disagree with what I’ve written. If you can’t do it in a civil manner, don’t bother to comment.

It’s my blog. If you disagree with this policy. Get your own damn site.

8/3/2005

THE ABSOLUTELY, POSITIVELY, VERY, VERY, LAST THING I HAVE TO SAY ABOUT ID AND EVOLUTION

Filed under: Science — Rick Moran @ 7:06 am

First of all, let me apologize to regular readers of this site who might have disagreed with me in this debate. It’s just that being called “ignorant” or “close minded” with regards to an unproven, unpublished, non-peer reviewed, and discredited concept gets under my sometimes rather thin skin.

If I went out of bounds (and I did), I’m sorry.

The reason for my passion on this issue has to do with the future of the United States. In the next 20 years, the world will experience a revolution the likes of which it has never imagined. I’m talking about the coming bio-tech revolution and the absolute necessity for the United States to lead the way in creating and developing products and processes that will transform not only the economies of the world but probably the human animal itself.

Glen Reynolds passion for nanotechnology is not some geeky obsession. Mr. Reynolds recognizes the awesome potential of marrying the physical with the metaphysical; of combining man and machine in ways that will affect the quality of life for everyone. Imagine molecule sized robots killing cancer cells or purging the body of free radicals. The life prolonging potential for some of these innovations could mean a doubling of the average life span for your infant child today.

And what about other bio-products like artificial blood or the growing of vital organs, or of limbs, or of new spinal columns that would allow the crippled to walk. This isn’t science fiction. There are legions of scientists and bio-engineers at work on these and thousands of other products as you read this. How about bacteria that “eats” air pollution or genetically engineered plants that are so hardy, they can grow in the driest places on earth?

The only limit to this revolution will be our imaginations. But in order to take part, our children need to understand modern biology. And modern biology is based on Darwinian evolution.

Wanting to teach your child intelligent design is fine. There’s nothing wrong with believing in ID concepts. But in order to participate in the coming world wide revolution, we must not only learn what German, Japanese, British, and Chinese students are learning, we must urge our children to out perform them. Despite protestations to the contrary, the purpose of ID is to supplant evolution as a narrative for origins. Whatever we don’t understand or have yet to find fossil evidence for, must be the result of the “designer’s” hand guiding evolution toward a specific goal.

I’m well aware of the shortcomings of evolution as a total, rational explanation for both the origin of life and subsequent changes in species. The problem is an incomplete picture. We’ve been looking at the process for less than 150 years. Discovery is agonizingly slow as scientists in the field painstakingly sift through the sand, gravel, and dust of 4.5 billion years of life searching for that one in 100 million living thing that died at the right place at the right time under the right circumstances and that allowed it’s skeletal impression to be left on a rock in some remote corner of the planet where bulldozers have yet to make a mark.

Of course there are gaps in our knowledge. Given the circumstances, expecting anything else would be unreasonable.

And yet, ID enthusiasts take these gaps in our knowledge as evidence that the entire theory should be discredited. This is wrong. Smarter and more capable people than I have debunked the main theses of ID and shown that randomness and evolution go hand in hand. To posit anything else is to deny nature itself. In many ways, ID is an anthropomorphic answer to questions that nature doesn’t even bother to ask. “It just happened” could go on a bumper sticker and slapped on every tree and bush and plant and animal on earth. Terribly unsatisfying, yes. But no more so than not knowing whether the next card drawn when I play blackjack is going to be a king or a two.

Lastly, why teach the controversy? Millions of people believe that we never walked on the moon, that NASA faked it. Should we teach that controversy? What possible good would it do to teach a biology course where every time the teacher brought up origins, they’d have to point to the unseen hand of a mythical “designer” as a catalyst for the random combination of amino acids and proteins that gave birth to the first primitive forms of life? It just doesn’t make any sense.

The world is wondrous enough without Intelligent Design. To my way of thinking, there’s no reason to go out of our way to invent answers to questions that the lord, in his own good time, will help us answer ourselves.

THE LEFT JUST COULDN’T “HACK-ETT”

Filed under: Politics — Rick Moran @ 5:13 am

The Kossaks are declaring victory.

Jerome Armstrong wants Hackett to run for statewide office.

Chris Bowers calls Hackett’s loss “tidal.”

The moonbats at the Democratic Underground want (yes…you guessed it) A RECOUNT!

And I need an aspirin. Reading lefty blogs usually leaves me with indigestion. This morning, they’ve imparted so much spin to this insignificant race in Ohio that I’ve got a pounding headache. In fact, I haven’t seen this much spinning since the last time I got drunk back in ‘95 and nearly threw up at a hoity-toity New Years Eve party.

The combination of rich moonbats (it was a charity event at a country club in very Democratic Madison, Wisconsin) and unwashed, college age, post modern feminists who defined incongruity by trying to be elegant in their formal dresses despite the fact that armpit shaving was unknown to them, caused the 7 glasses of champagne I imbibed to rumble uncomfortably in my gut. I was saved from embarrassment by a kindly old widow who, seeing my discomfort, led me outdoors to the 18th green where I gratefully gulped the fresh, clean, Wisconsin night air. The bemused widow must have been the only other conservative in attendance and saw the look on my face when the MC introduced the dinner speaker as “a tireless fighter of the fascists who control our country.”

I get the same kind of nausea reading the desperate wishful thinking emanating from liberal websites who are crowing this morning that BushitlerMcChimpyHaliburton is finally…finally on the run:

A New Wind is Blowing”

New Ohio Democratic superstar Paul Hackett went into the lion’s den of pure Red Southern Ohio and scared the pants off of the GOP losing by less than 4 points in the face of a NRCC promise to “bury him.”

No spin - the GOP is on the run.

Tidal

Tonight’s results exceeded my wildest expectations. Don’t get me wrong - I would have been overjoyed had Hackett won. But I am still thrilled, and his tremendous showing in an incredibly red district should buoy the hopes of Democrats everywhere. Tomorrow, we can begin the important task of dissecting the Hackett campaign’s operations in fine detail, to figure out what contributed most to its success - to see what results this extraordinary lab experiment yielded.

OH-02: What a Ride

From the looks of it, the margin was under 4 percent, or per Cook’s analysis, a “very serious warning sign” for the state GOP. Indeed, this is probably the only district in Ohio in which Paul would’ve lost.

So the state GOP avoids a “devastating blow”, but only by the hair on their chinny chin chin. OH-02 saw the resurgance of the Democratic Party, the GOP had to spend $500K they hadn’t otherwise planned on spending, and a Democratic star is born (next stop for Hackett — statewide elected office). So much for “burying” Hackett…

Bleeechhh!

Perhaps the “Reality Based Community” should sip something whose effects would be a little less psychedelic and face some cold, hard facts.

First, the reason why the lefties had to start a blogswarm and the rationale for the admittedly excellent job done by liberal websites in raising money for their candidate was because the National Democratic Party couldn’t life a finger to help him. This from July 7, less than a month ago:

Meanwhile, Hackett’s campaign staff was at its office in Batavia, meeting with representatives of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, seeking help in what they know is an uphill campaign.

David Woodruff, a spokesman for the Hackett campaign, said Wednesday that Democratic officials said they would help the Hackett campaign recruit volunteers, but made no commitment to having paid staff in the 2nd District or helping raise money.

“We didn’t ask them to give us $3 million,” said Woodruff. “We talked about how we can win without spending $3 million.

“They said they’d do everything they can to get us volunteer help. I don’t know what other help they are going to be able to give.”

The Democratic committee, through spokeswoman Sarah Steinberg, won’t even confirm that its representatives met with the Hackett campaign

In the only congressional race taking place this summer, the National Democratic Party, thanks to the idiocy of one Howard Dean and his complete ineptness at raising money, was reduced to offering to help recruit volunteers.

If the liberals consider this a victory…BRING IT ON!

Meanwhile, the Republicans barely broke a sweat in defeating Hackett. Despite a relatively unattractive candidate and a scandal in Ohio that is tarring Republicans with the malfeasance of an unpopular governor, the Republicans still won. If not a comfortable victory, a victory nonetheless.

A look at the numbers tells an even more significant story. Hackett received 54,500 votes while his opponent Jean Schmidt received about 59,000. The liberals are crowing at the “huge” turnout. That turnout represents about 20% of the electorate which isn’t even considered “average” for a special election of this nature. In other words, despite massive coverage by the MSM and lefty blogs, Hackett got a little more than 50% of the total vote achieved by retiring Congressman Portman’s opponent last November. In that race, more than 310,000 votes were cast with the Democrat receiving about 90,000 votes.

Clearly, the Democrats did a very good job at getting their people to the polls. The massive amount of money raised by liberal blogs in the last fortnight went to a typically well organized “Get out the Vote” campaign. In the end, the Democrats succeeded in getting twice the number of their people to the polls than Republicans did. Schmidt’s total vote was about 25% of Portman’s vote compared to last November’s results. Thus, the same percentage of Republicans voted for Schmidt as voted for Portman when comparing turnout with 2004. The Democrats simply did a better job of getting their people to the polls.

The closeness of the race will allow the liberals to delude themselves for a while. They’ll try to dissect Hackett’s campaign and attempt to glean whatever “secrets for success” they may think they find in it. This will be a worthless exercise because the reasons for Hackett’s close loss had much to do with the fact that the election did indeed take place in a vacuum. All the political hot air in the country was sucked into Ohio’s 2nd Congressional district for this special election. The blogswarm, the fundraising, the mutually reinforcing pats on the back during the entire process, all taking place under the glare of the MSM, eventually came to naught. In the end, the Republican emerged triumphant.

And let’s not forget the loons at the Democratic Underground. Like the drunk relative you hide in the broom closet at family gatherings, someone in the Democratic Party is going to have to stand up and say “either quit drinking the kool-ade or leave:”

I write this as it appears increasingly certain that this race will qualify for a free recount under Ohio law (0.5% margin). Even if it doesn’t the national party of the losing candidate (probably Hackett) should pay for one. Turns out I was wrong here. Margin was 52 to 48 but I still would investigate a recount.

Someone in the national Democratic Party better give these moonbats a civics lesson. When the votes are counted and your candidate loses it’s considered bad form to demand a recount regardless of what the margin your candidate loses by. It’s just not funny anymore. It’s psychotic. And if the Democrats don’t think that this kind of stupidity isn’t hurting them as a party then they’re sticking their heads in the sand. The American people don’t like sore losers. And that’s what the base of the Democratic party is being perceived as.

I haven’t seen any headlines yet or reaction from conservatives. I’ll be updating this post throughout the day.

UPDATE

Michelle Malkin has her usual excellent round-up of early postings on the election. Check back with her during the day as I’m sure she’ll be updating.

The Captian makes a similar point that I made:

In the end, it doesn’t matter much, because in 2006 this district simply won’t get the national attention it drew here. The Democrats will not have the resources to dedicate to this one single seat that they did in an off year special election. Without the overwhelming focus on this rock-solid conservative seat, it will revert to a fairly easy GOP race next year — especially if the Democrats foul the atmosphere with a slew of pointless lawsuits.

Polipundit has this:

Polipundit pointed out that “this is a one-time result because of freak circumstances” including that “Paul Hackett ran commercials in which President Bush seemed to endorse him.” It will be interesting to watch the media coverage of the election result and to see if ANYONE in the MSM presents the fact that Hackett ran one of the most misleading ads that I have ever seen, which did appear to show him aligning himself with the President and in support of the effort in Iraq.

I predict this is the way the Dems will run next year. Flag waving patriotism in TV ads extolling the bravery and unselfishness of our troops while trashing the war and the President on the stump. Should be fascinating to watch…

8/2/2005

DEAR MR. PRESIDENT: SHUT YOUR YAP!

Filed under: Moonbats — Rick Moran @ 10:57 am

This is just too stupid to be true:

President Bush said Monday he believes schools should discuss ”intelligent design” alongside evolution when teaching students about the creation of life.

During a round-table interview with reporters from five Texas newspapers, Bush declined to go into detail on his personal views of the origin of life. But he said students should learn about both theories, Knight Ridder Newspapers reported.

”I think that part of education is to expose people to different schools of thought,” Bush said. ”You’re asking me whether or not people ought to be exposed to different ideas, the answer is yes.”

Alright then, I’ve got a few more “ideas” that students should probably be exposed to as long as we’re talking about filling their heads with a bunch of nonsense like ID:.

1. The earth is actually a bowl sitting on the back of elephants. Hey! If its good enough for the Hindus, why not us?

2. The God Manitou took pity on a mother bear who had lost her cubs while swimming across Lake Michigan and turned the cubs into islands (the Manitou islands) and the mother into a sand dune (Sleeping Bear Sand Dune). The Ojibwa’s believe it…I did too until I was about 5 years old.

3. NASA really didn’t go to the moon. The moon walk was done on a Hollywood sound stage.

4. A stitch in time saves nine. Try it, Mr. President. It’s true.

5. The invention of the microwave oven is the result of back engineering alien technology found in the rubble of a spacecraft that crashed in Roswell, New Mexico in 1945…or was it 1948? The date doesn’t matter. What matters is many, many people believe it. (This info surprised the actual inventor of the microwave oven Percy L. Spencer)

6. Gerry Thomas, who recently passed away, invented the TV Dinner. Hell, the MSM believed it, why not teach it?

One can go on and on.

Who the devil cares if some people believe that “Intelligent Design” is the “correct” interpretation for the massive amount of fossil and anthropological evidence showing how human beings evolved? If it were up to you Mr. President and the right wing idiotarians who are pushing this “theory” humans would still believe that the earth was the center of the universe and that stars were fixed in the sky in a series of crystal spheres. That’s what the overwhelming majority of people believed as recently as 500 years ago.

The damage you and the idiotarians are doing to the minds of our young people is unconscionable. And it’s got to stop. So take your idiotic theory and shove it where the sun don’t shine and leave science to the rationalists. We’ll leave faith based issues to experts like you.

UPDATE

Welcome Instapundit Readers!

My, my some commenters seem to be in a snit…or is it sniff? I will reprint my reply to those who wish to tell me that ID is science, or that evolution is “only” a theory, or that we haven’t found any transitional fossiles, or that I’m a godless heathen who will burn in hellfire for all eternity, etc.

1. Anyone who says that ID is “science” is a loon.

2. Anyone who says “evolution is only a theory” doesn’t know anything about science. The “Theory” of Relativity is a theory…except one should perhaps ask the residents of Hiroshima about the efficacy of that particular set of concepts.

3. Anyone who believes that the Big Bang is worthless as an explantion as to how the universe came into existence not only doesn’t know anything about cosmology, but also denies the existence of the nose on the end of your face.

4. Those who agitate for the teaching of ID “along side” evolution are hoping for a day 20 years from now when their children or grandchildren are sweeping the floors of Bio-tech factories owned by the Japanese or Germans instead of owning the damn things themselves as they should.

When the rest of the world embraces ID with the same fervor that the zealots in this country do, come back and talk to me. Until then…shut your yaps.

UPDATE II

The question that reappears over and over again in the comments from ID supporters is “What’s wrong with teaching both and letting the kids decide?”

With that kind of logic, we could teach both the Steady State Theory of the cosmos as well as the Big Bang and let 15 year old kids try to work out the most complex and elegant set of mathmatical equations ever dreamed by the mind of man?

And when we teach Newton’s Laws, should we also teach what theories they replaced? And when teaching Einstein, perhaps we should also teach the theories of light that his ideas replaced. There are “thought experiments” that you can do to prove Einstein’s theories on the dual properties of light. But there were 18th and 19th century experiments that perfectly reasonable scientists could duplicate that proved that light was something entirely different than what Einstien proved it was.

Why not let the kids decide? Because it’s not up to them to “decide” the merits of something that by all accounts, is barely understood by the people who are teaching the subject!

Newton’s laws were almost perfect and worked very well - except they didn’t explain the orbit of Mercury. For hundreds of years, this anamoly with Mercury’s orbit was one of the great mysteries of science. It took Einstein’s theories to fill in Newton’s holes, including Mercury’s orbit, and thus built upon Newton’s work.

Intelligent Design would not build upon Darwin or any other evolutionists work. It would make a mockery of it. The capriciousness of the evolutionary process is “how we got here from there.” Just because the fossile record is incomplete - and given that less than 1/10 of 1% of all living things will die and not only fossilize, but also remain intact so that we can find and study them - doesn’t mean a damn thing. All it means is that we have to keep digging - literally.

In the future, look to the evolutionary biologists as they unlock the secrets in our DNA. That’s where the big news on origins will probably come from in the future.

CARNIVAL OF THE CLUELESS #8

Filed under: CARNIVAL OF THE CLUELESS — Rick Moran @ 9:08 am

Last weekend, my little Illinois town celebrated it’s “Founders Days,” featuring a parade, fireworks, flea market, and of course, a carnival.

One of my favorite carnival games is the target shooting game with ducks all lined up in a row. The object being to knock down as many ducks as possible in a set period of time. As a kid, those guns were pellet guns and each time you hit a target there was a satisfying thwack as the hapless duck was plunked and went down for the count. Of course, today they use lasers instead of pellets which casts suspicion on whether or not they’re rigging the game to keep the contestant from winning the nicer prizes.

That said, I miss that thwack. There must be an atavistic response programmed in the human brain that releases massive amounts of endorphins when the target goes down after a hit. I can imagine Paleolithic man casting a spear and getting enormous satisfaction out of the sound made when the point penetrates the heart of his prey. Thousands of years of evolution haven’t dimmed that enjoyment. Just look at the ducks we’ve lined up for you in this week’s Carnival.

We’ve got the easy targets like Jane Fonda, Jimmy Carter, Howard Dean, and the usual suspects. But then we’ve got those third level targets who are much harder to hit like network TV executives, Harvard Regency Board member Conrad Harper, and former London Times editor Simon Jenkins. Extra points should be awarded to those posters who go above and beyond to seek out the truly clueless.

With that in mind, here’s this week’s edition of thwacked ducks.

At least two thirds of our miseries spring from human stupidity, human malice and those great motivators and justifiers of malice and stupidity, idealism, dogmatism and proselytizing zeal on behalf of religious or political idols.
(Aldous Huxley)
Hey Aldo! I see you’ve met Howard Dean.
(Me)

Blogeditrix (wouldn’t you love to see her in a black patent leather one piece?) and world traveler Pamela of Atlas Shrugs is back from Paris just in time to tell us about the cluebats at the EU falling all over each other, lining up to sell the radioactive mullahs nuclear fuel. Here’s some gasoline…how about a match.

Giacomo from Joust the Facts has some lefty reactions to the recess appointment of John Bolton. They seem a might upset. Sometimes I think Bush does stuff like this to watch the moonbats as their heads explode.

Hypnyx at Global Democratic Revolution takes on perhaps the most clueless group of Republicans around; my own Illinois State Republican Party who, not content with picking a Senate candidate (Alan Keyes) who lost by nearly 50 points to Barak Obama, now offer a bounty for anyone with info that will convict Chicago Mayor Richard Daley of a crime…in Chicago…on this planet. Not. A. Chance.

Tom Bowler at Libertarian Leanings has some interesting information about Air America. Not only do they rob from the poor to finance their broadcasts, they also have a “Camp Air America” - a liberal “Madrassa” as Tom calls it.

My old buddy Pat at Brainsters has Part #55 of his series of posts fisking the “Reality Based Community.” This one has the moonbats tying in an “impeachment march” with the massive anti-war demonstration set for September 24 in Washington. Wishful thinking is their strong suit.

Raven at And Rightly So says that Jimmy Carter embarrasses her. Since the lovely and talented blogger is not known as the shy and retiring type, the grinning goober must have done something really clueless - like diss the US on foreign soil.

Beth at My Vast Right Wing Conspiracy hates hippies. I’m not surprised. The mentally challenged moonbats at People for the Ethical Treatment of Animals (PETA) have now compared human beings keeping animals to slavery. Maybe they’ll be able to find a chicken who can give the Gettysburg Address.

More great stuff from Mr. Right at The Right Place. Anyone for an Air America telethon? Maybe Al Gore will lend a hand as Mr. Right suggests?

The Logical Meme has an excellent post on Pakistani immigration to Great Britain. “Islam, like Marxism, provides a convenient rationale to the most dysfunctional cultures of the world.” Amen.

Is there anything more despicable than Cafepress selling “Kill Bush” merchandise? Cao at Cao’s Blog (pronounced “Key”) doesn’t think so. Who’s worse? The people who sell it or the people who buy it?

Philomathean writes about the trouble Harvard President Larry Summers is in with various moonbats on campus, including Conrad Harper, the only black member of the Harvard Board of Regents.

The People’s Republic of Seabrook has a few well deserved unkind words for ex-Cubs current Astros broadcaster Milo Hamilton. Baseball is the simplest of games. Why do people want to complicate it so?

Charleston Daily Mail columnist Don Surber has the inside scoop on the new ABC drama “Hail to the Chief.” Evidently the movie industry isn’t the only part of Hollywood that recycles ideas from time to time.

Searchlight Crusade has some well chosen words for the Washington Post and their apparent opposition to a media exemption for bloggers who they say “want it both ways.” “As opposed to traditional media people, who are never activist, never donate to partisan causes, and never, ever encourage others to do so?” Uh-Huh.

Josh Cohen is mad at the MSM for forgetting that the Russians also have a space program and a good one. Where would we have been if the Russkies hadn’t stepped in and saved our bacon by resupplying that boondoggle of a space station we’ve got up there?

Harvey at Bad Example has an open Letter to Jane Fonda. It’s not pretty.

Howard Dean is in the news again and Van Helsing has captured the creature and has him caged in his castle in Transylvania. Funny that he only drinks the blood of Republicans…

Mean ‘ole Meany is being really, really mean to the Splodeydopes again. This time, he responds to an email from a moonbat who wants to secede and set up a country made up of blue states. Meany shows her the error of her ways.

Mark Coffey’s Weekly Jackass is Simon Jenkins, former editor of the London Times and, as Mark refers to him, a “useful idiot” in the war on terror. The fact that he appears regularly on Arianna Huffington’s blog should tell you all you need to know about what kind of an “idiot” he is.

Going to the Mat has a post wrestling Senator Chris Dodd to the mat for his total cluelessness of the US Constitution. I’d have to say the match goes to Matt in three falls.

Jay at Stop the ACLU informs us that the group wants to get rid of tax exempt status for churches. What’s next? Banning hot dogs? Passing a law against apple pie?

Tony at More than Loans has a suggestion regarding Jimmy Carter: “Will someone please give this guy a hammer or something shiny to look at to keep him occupied?” And a bib for the drool.

GM Roper has a great article on the cluelessness of the left in general but also the rest of us when it comes to fighting the War on Terror. “Words mean things” says GM. Too bad most of the moonbats try to make words mean something other than what is said.

Ogre thinks that the American people are pretty dense when taken as a group. I actually agree with that to a certain extent. The problem is that the evidence comes from polls which can also show how really clueless pollsters are just by the way they frame a question.

Duncan Avatar at Parrot Check wants the USS Iowa to come to Texas since the anti-military moonbats in San Francisco won’t have her.

The Maryhunter points us to a superb fisking of Arianna Huffington and her cluelessness of ancient history. TMH has a suggestion for why the crone got it so wrong: She ” may have been a little too distracted thinking about the next private plane flight she could beg off of one of her jet-setting friends to have researched a bold claim she made.”

Finally, here’s a little ditty I did on the New York Times calling people who want to see the 9/11 memorial remain about that day’s events and not be made into an anti-American love fest “un-American.”

CIA VS. THE WHITE HOUSE: THE LEAKS GO ON

Filed under: CIA VS. THE WHITE HOUSE, Iran — Rick Moran @ 7:55 am

This article originally appears in The American Thinker

Reading today’s story in the Washington Post by Dafna Linzer about a National Intelligence Estimate for Iran detailing the mad Mullah’s progress toward achieving a nuclear weapon, one could be forgiven for thinking that we’ve been down this road before. The leaking of classified information is, after all, a felony. That doesn’t seem to stop some employees at the CIA from assuming the job of policy makers by leaking information that buttresses their opinion that Iran is not an immediate threat to the United States and that the Administration is once again lying about a potential adversary’s intentions.

The problem is that, as the article points out, only selected portions of the NIE were relayed to the reporter, Ms. Linzer. Is it an accident that those portions that were leaked are at odds with the Administration’s oft stated claims that Iran, if left to its own devices, would be nuclear capable in a matter of a year or two?

In fact, the report predicts that Iran would be unable to build a weapon for ten years, something that would come as a huge surprise to the state of Israel. In an article written by Peter Hirschberg for Ha’aretz, the author quotes an Israeli military official giving a quite different analysis of the threat from Iran:

Israeli intelligence officials estimate that Iran could be capable of producing enriched uranium within six months and have nuclear weapons within two years. Earlier this month, head of Israeli military intelligence Maj. Gen. Aharon Ze’evi said that while Iran was not currently capable of enriching uranium to build a nuclear bomb, “it is only half a year away from achieving such independent capability – if it is not stopped by the West.”

And yet, the Washington Post story says that the consensus estimate of our intelligence community is that Iran would not be capable of producing a bomb for a decade:

The new estimate extends the timeline, judging that Iran will be unlikely to produce a sufficient quantity of highly enriched uranium, the key ingredient for an atomic weapon, before “early to mid-next decade,” according to four sources familiar with that finding. The sources said the shift, based on a better understanding of Iran’s technical limitations, puts the timeline closer to 2015 and in line with recently revised British and Israeli figures.

The estimate is for acquisition of fissile material, but there is no firm view expressed on whether Iran would be ready by then with an implosion device, sources said.

The problem with Iran’s “technical limitations” is that the production of Highly Enriched (HE) uranium is not a huge technical problem to overcome. Hiding the process from prying eyes is the real dilemma. The two practical ways to separate U-235 (bomb material) from U-238 (uranium hexafluoride or “hex”) are gaseous diffusion and centrifuges. A gaseous diffusion plant would be impossible to hide given how big the works would have to be to efficiently separate the uranium. The centrifuge method is much easier to conceal but a bigger technical challenge given the engineering tolerances necessary to spin the centrifuge at the enormous speeds in order to separate the isotopes.

There is a third way and would in fact be a shortcut to a nuclear weapon; acquire the material from a third party. The article doesn’t say whether or not the NIE deals with that possibility.

As for constructing an “implosion” device, the bomb dropped on Hiroshima was constructed using the so called “gun design” where a sphere of U-235 sits at one end of a barrel and a smaller pellet of the material is fired into it thus achieving critical mass and detonating the bomb. This is less efficient than an implosion device but still packs a huge wallop.

The point I’m trying to make is that given the piecemeal release of parts of the NIE, the leaker has succeeded in spinning the Iran nuclear story toward a conclusion at odds with what the Administration has been saying since at least 2002 - that Iran must be prevented from enriching uranium because of how close they are to constructing a nuclear device.

Evidently, part of the Administration’s concern was that the Iranian military had its own nuclear program separate from the civilian government:

Sources said the new timeline also reflects a fading of suspicions that Iran’s military has been running its own separate and covert enrichment effort. But there is evidence of clandestine military work on missiles and centrifuge research and development that could be linked to a nuclear program, four sources said.

Suspicions are “fading” but there is “evidence” of clandestine military work on centrifuges? It appears that either we have someone wanting to cover all bases at the same time or we have no consensus in our intelligence community on the issue. If this is the case, how can the estimate of Iranian capabilities be taken seriously? Is there another estimate at odds with the conclusion leaked in the article?

We don’t know which is why the leaking of this NIE should be seen in the context of the continuing war being waged by a faction at the CIA on the White House. Is it an accident that much of the information leaked confirms what one former CIA agent has been saying about Iran since at least March?

Ray McGovern is on the steering committee for the radical group of ex-CIA agents at war with the White House known as Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity (VIPS). Here’s what Mr. McGovern had to say in an article for Tom Paine, an on-line leftist magazine:

Let’s look briefly at the scariest rationale-If Iran is allowed to produce fissile material, it may transfer it to terrorists bent on exploding a nuclear device in an American city.

This seems to be the main boogeyman, whether real or contrived, in U.S. policymaking councils. Its unexamined premise-the flimsily supported but strongly held view that Iran’s leaders would give terrorists a nuclear device or the wherewithal to make one-is being promoted as revealed truth. Serious analysts who voice skepticism about this and who list the strong disincentives to such a step by Iran are regarded as apostates.

For those of you with a sense of deja vu, we have indeed been here before-just a few years ago. And the experience should have been instructive. In the case of Iraq, CIA and other analysts strongly resisted the notion that Saddam Hussein would risk providing nuclear, chemical, or biological materials to al-Qaeda or other terrorists-except as a desperate gesture if and when he had his back to the wall. Similarly, it strains credulity beyond the breaking point to posit that the Iranian leaders would give up control of such material to terrorists.

Since Mr. McGovern wrote that article in March, Iran’s ruling Guardian Council has by most accounts rigged an election so that a hard line militarist with close ties to terrorist groups was elected President. Even before President elect Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has taken office, a crackdown on dissidents as well as an ideological purge of key government and civil institutions has been underway in Iran. And President elect Ahmadinejad has made it clear that he sees the Islamic revolution as a worldwide phenomena that will conquer “every mountaintop.”

Now, we can choose to believe what we read and what we see or we can listen to the very same people were saying in July of 2001 that al Qaeda was not a threat. And let’s not forget most of these same analysts concurred in the estimates regarding Iraqi WMD.

The point is that regardless of recent steps to reform our intelligence capability, it appears that we’re still working with a dysfunctional system where agency personnel feel perfectly comfortable with leaking classified information in a bid to influence both Administration policy and the political process. No one expects everybody to agree on everything. But the American people have a right to expect that the unelected bureaucrats who work at the CIA allow policy making to reside with those we have entrusted for the task - the elected representatives of the people.

UPDATE

Wizbang has a “Shut your Piehole” edition of the 10 Spot. I can’t think of any better candidate than the idiots at the CIA who keep blabbing our national security secrets.

8/1/2005

WHY DID SO MANY PEOPLE HATE BILL CLINTON?

Filed under: Politics — Rick Moran @ 10:39 am

In a recent essay in the New York Times Book Review Alan Ehrenhalt, executive editor of Governing magazine and author of ”The United States of Ambition’,’ asked Why do people hate Bill Clinton?

Millions of Americans despise Bill Clinton. They have done so since he became a presence in national politics in the early 1990’s, and they continue to do so today, more than four years after his retirement from public office.

The passion of the Clinton haters is a phenomenon without equal in recent American politics. It is not based on any specific policies that Clinton promoted or implemented during his years in office. It is almost entirely personal. In its persistence and intensity, it goes far beyond anything that comparable numbers of people have felt about Jimmy Carter, Ronald Reagan or either of the presidents Bush. It surpasses even the liberals’ longstanding detestation of Richard Nixon. The only political obsession comparable to it in the past century is the hatred that a significant minority of Americans felt for Franklin Delano Roosevelt.

In this respect the phenomenon is all the more puzzling. Roosevelt made enormous and sometimes reckless changes in the American government and economy, and when his critics loathed him for it, he loathed them back. ”They are unanimous in their hate for me” he said of them in his 1936 re-election campaign, ”and I welcome their hatred.” Clinton, on the other hand, was a centrist who undertook no dramatic transformations of society or government and, what was more, showed himself to be an instinctive conciliator who believed in compromise almost to a fault.

Mr. Erhrenhalt needs to get a clue.

Anyone who thinks that Bill Clinton is hated more by the right than George Bush 43 is hated by the left has either been asleep since 2001 or is such a Bush hater himself that he’s lost all perspective in gauging the depth of feeling generated by the left against the President.

I don’t recall too many right wingers comparing Clinton to Hitler, or openly calling for his assassination, or accusing him falsely of being behind a plot to rig voting machines to steal an election, or any of a number of stupid, ignorant, hateful themes that have vomited forth from leftists for the last five years.

And Mr. Ehrenhalt calling Mr. Clinton a “centrist” is like me calling a my pet cat Snowball a rhinoceros - it sounds good but it simply isn’t so.

Be that as it may, Richard Jensen who runs Conservative net, a forum for conservative and libertarian scholars, asked a few of his contributors to respond to Mr. Ehrenhalt’s ludicrous description of Clinton as well as answering his question.

David Horowitz (Editor of Frontpage Magazine)

This is an interesting review, but I strongly demur from the view that Clinton hatred exceeds Bush hatred by any measure. Conservatives are more disgusted by Clinton; but they are not so blinded by their negative feelings that they don’t appreciate Clinton’s achievements, the centrism of his policy (when he wasn’t surrendering his better judgment to interest groups), his brilliance as a politician. By contrast so-called liberals and leftists have a hatred of Bush that is so intense it reduces their view of him to absurdities — he’s a moron, a liar and evil. None of these are remotely related to any truth of the man or his presidency and the passion of belief in them is so strong that obscures any appreciation for his achievements in the war on terror and foreign policy generally which far surpass anything Clinton was able to do.

Mr. Horwitz obviously never traversed the fever swamps of the right because Clinton indeed is thought of by many as a liar and evil. And my own belief is that Clinton’s “brilliance” as a politician is due to the total lack of anyone with charisma who opposed him on the right. Once Bush41 was out of the way, the Republicans had no one of any stature to oppose him. Newt Gingrich was too cerebral. Bob Dole was….well, a highly decorated war hero but a tired old warhorse by ‘96. In short, even a dim bulb casts some light compared to no bulb at all.

Larry Schweikart (Professor of History, Dayton University)

As one who despised Clinton for what he did to the office of the presidency—in my view, every bit as dangerous and abusive as Nixon—it was always clear that Clinton would, in the end, do what the public wanted. (That was not so clear about She-Who-Must-Not-Be-Named). I didn’t “hate” Clinton so much as pitied him—the product of an alcohol-abusive family that learned how to please everyone, that wanted everyone to like him, thus one who developed no core beliefs of his own (exactly what Stephanopolous, I think, said).

The notion of “getting” Clinton was less an opposition to his policies, which, as David points out, were at times “conservative” (balanced budgets, NAFTA), but more a dogmatic demand that the law be followed because not to follow it would invite further, more egregious violations from Clinton and his wife. Thankfully, the impeachment neutered him, killed Al Gore’s chances, and destroyed his “legacy.” Bush hatred, though, as I have said here on numerous occasions, is essentially religious in nature. Most of all, the Bush-haters fear Bush’s certainty of purpose which is given him by God. “No one can be that sure of himself,” they mourn. Well, yes, one can.

Even before Monica, there was a sense that the Oval Office was an unclean place; that the White House was not only for sale to the highest campaign contributors but that the reverence that most President’s show toward the traditions of the office was simply missing from the Clinton mafia. The venality and malfeasance of his aides, his cabinet officials, his wife, and eventually himself was so pervasive that at times it seemed as if a criminal conspiracy had taken over the country.

It wasn’t a conspiracy of course. It was amorality of thought, word, and deed. When Senator Bob Kerry said in a January 1996 article in Esquire magazine that “”Clinton’s an unusually good liar. Unusually good. Do you realize that?” most conservatives shrugged their shoulders. Clinton wasn’t just a liar. He was a pathological fibber, the broncobuster of prevarication, the Muhamad Ali of equivocation. He lied so often, so consistently, and so well that the American people eventually threw up their hands and decided it was just something that all politicians did. That may be true to a certain extent, but the length and breadth of Clinton’s lies exceeded anything done by any other politician in recent memory.

And the good professor is spot on with his analysis of the Bush haters being livid at our President’s certitude. Having spent their entire lives trying to tear down the verities by which western civilization has thrived for nearly 500 years, it must really stick in their throat that they can’t discredit the simple faith of the man.

Paul Gottfried ( Professor of Humanities at Elizabethtown College and author of, most recently, Multiculturalism and the Politics of Guilt)

Republicans and movement conservatives disliked Clinton because they were genuinely turned off by his personal immorality and even more by the casuistry in which feminist groups engaged in order to justify his predatory sex life. I for one found Clinton to be a shabby clown and the embattled feminists who went to his aid seemed to have about as much credibility as the Communists who defended the Soviet-Nazi Pact.

But, unlike David and Larry, I’m not sure that the attacks on Bush are more personal and more biting than those that Republicans unleashed against Clinton. What bothers me is exactly the opposite, namely that the savaging of W is being done pro forma. It is the way the liberal media and academics and Democrats treat Republican presidents, even those who equivocate on affirmative action and become ultraliberals in dealing with illegal immigration.

The savaging of the President “pro-forma” is an excellent way to describe the put down of every Republican President by the left since the end of WW II. Michael Barone commented on this in a recent article:

But beneath the hubbub, we can see the playing out of another, less reported story: the collapse of the attempts by liberal Democrats and their sympathizers in the mainstream media–the New York Times, etc., etc.–to delegitimize yet another Republican administration.

This project has been ongoing for more than 30 years. Richard Nixon, by obstructing investigation of the Watergate burglary, unwittingly colluded in the successful attempt to besmirch his administration. Less than two years after carrying 49 states, he was compelled to resign. The attempt to delegitimize the Reagan administration seemed at the time reasonably successful. Reagan was widely dismissed as a lightweight ideologue, and the rejection of his nomination of Robert Bork to the Supreme Court in 1987 contributed to the impression that his years in office were, to take the title of a book by a first-rate journalist, “the Reagan detour.” As time went on, as the Berlin Wall fell and Bill Clinton proclaimed that the era of big government was over, it became clear that Reagan was a successful transformational president–something the mainstream media grudgingly admitted when he died in 2004 after a decade out of public view.

Barone didn’t mention Eisenhower whose Presidency heralded one of the most prosperous and innovative times in the history of human civilization. Portraying Ike as a grinning idiot was easy for the left because of the way the President mangled the English language. But he was decisive and forward looking in his administration - something the left never gave him credit for.

Yes, there was passionate hatred of Clinton. But it was Republicans and Republican ideas that gave him his greatest legislative victories in welfare reform, NAFTA, and balanced budgets. The fact that he shamelessly stole those ideas and embraced them as his own is what maddened those of us who could see that embrace for what it was; not born out of principal but out of opportunism. That too, is a form of dishonesty. And when you get right down to it, that’s why so many of us hate Clinton to this day; his inability to have an honest set of principals that when you look at the man, you know he believes in.

Bill Clinton would have been an afterthought in history if Ross Perot had not run in 1992. And if the Republicans had been able to field a more attractive candidate in 1996, Clinton would have gone down to a humiliating defeat (he got less than 50% of the vote in both elections).

I will always see him as an interlude President - a between the wars President. He was enabled by a populace who simply wanted to be left alone in the period between the end of the cold war and the start of the War on Terror. And he will be little more than a minor, curious footnote in history volumes discussing the end of the 20th century.

THE COUNCIL HAS SPOKEN

Filed under: General — Rick Moran @ 7:49 am

The votes are in and yours truly ended up in the top spot for this week’s Watcher’s vote. My post on the death of James Doohan juxtaposed with the 36th anniversery of Apollo 11 finished in the top spot followed closely by an excellent piece by The Glittering Eye on nuclear terrorism. Finishing in the third spot was newbie New World Man’s post “Roberts Rules.”

In the non Council category Hog on Ice won with a post entitled “Anonymous Rectal Intercourse.” Finishing second was Richard Fernandez at the Belmont Club with his post “And Now I Lay Me Down To Sleep.”

If you’d like to participate in this week’s Watcher’s vote, go here and follow instructions.

AXIS OF NON AGRESSORS?

Filed under: Iran, War on Terror — Rick Moran @ 7:05 am

When Adolph Hitler was getting ready to invade Poland in August of 1939, he faced something of a dilemma. While he realized that both France and England would probably be forced to declare war on Germany for the violation of Poland’s sovereignty he was planning, his real concern was the reaction of the Soviet Union who had also given some security guarantees to the Polish state.

Hitler did not want to repeat what he saw as the Kaiser’s biggest mistake - Germany having to fight a two front war. And while he was fully prepared to invade Poland at any cost, he thought he saw an opening in late August to peel the Soviets away from the Anglo-French alliance. He sent his Foreign Minister von Ribbentrop to Moscow for what has to be considered the most cynical diplomatic move of the 20th century. Within a few days, Ribbentrop had negotiated a trade agreement on the most favorable terms to Germany along with a Non-Agression pact between the two tyrants. In addition, there was a secret protocol to the treaty that gave Hitler carte blanche to attack in the west and allowed Stalin a free hand in the Baltic. Hitler even threw in a large slice of Poland to sweeten the pot for Stalin.

The Nazi-Soviet Pact was signed on August 29 in Moscow. Less than 72 hours later, Hitler invaded Poland.

The non-agression treaty didn’t save Stalin, of course, as Hitler planned to break the pact just as soon as the military situation in the west was settled. After occupying most of Europe by defeating the French and bringing Great Britain to its knees, he ended up invading the Soviet Union in June of 1941.

Hitler used the non-agression pact with Stalin as a ruse to improve his military prospects in the west and allow him time for the strategic situation to ripen in the east.

And now both Iran and North Korea, the remaining members of the “Axis of Evil”, are saying they’ll give the United States what we want from them - no nukes - in exchange for security guarantees.

Does anyone else get the feeling that history may be repeating itself?

Both countries would be tough nuts to crack in a military sense. Both have large modern armies that would make invasion extremely costly. Only a coalition of Europeans and friendly Arab states would be able to take down Iran. And some similar coalition would be needed to overrun North Korea.

And yet the danger of either one of those nations getting their hands on weapons of mass destruction is so great that there is a sense of urgency in preventing them from achieving their goal. In the case of Iran, we’ve allowed the so-called EU3 composed of Great Britain, France, and Germany to negotiate with the radiocative Mullahs in Iran to stop their uranium enrichment program. Iran has continously refused to do this despite attractive trade concessions offered by the EU. Now apparently, the Iranians may be willing to forgo their enrichment program in exchange for certain “guarantees:”

Iran’s top nuclear negotiator said his European counterparts have proposed a guarantee that Iran will not be invaded if Tehran agrees to permanently halt uranium enrichment, the state-run news agency said Sunday.

Hasan Rowhani said the proposal is being discussed by Europeans and includes several important points such as “guarantees about Iran’s integrity, independence, national sovereignty” and “nonaggression toward Iran,” the Islamic Republic News Agency said Sunday.

“If Europe enjoys a serious political will about Iran’s nuclear fuel cycle, there will be the possibility of understanding,” the agency quoted Rowhani as saying in a letter to outgoing Iranian president Mohammad Khatami.

Does this mean that Iran would halt their drive to produce weapons grade atomic material? Not exactly:

Meanwhile, Iran’s top officials were to meet Sunday evening for a final decision on when to resume work at a reprocessing center in Isfahan, said Ali Agha Mohammadi, spokesman for Iran’s powerful Supreme National Security Council.

“Europe has only a few hours, up to when the council meets, for the proposal. If it does not arrive by that time, the council will discuss breaking the ice” on Iran’s stalled nuclear program, Agha Mohammadi told state-run radio.

Of course, the Iranians will be guided by the principals of non proliferation - for a while anyway:

“Today or tomorrow we will send a letter to the IAEA about resumption of activity in the Isfahan Uranium Conversion Facility,” said Foreign Ministry spokesman Hamid Reza Asefi. “We would like to unseal the equipment and carry on the activity under the IAEA.”

Asefi said IAEA inspectors already were in Tehran, which means a short flight to the central Iranian city of Isfahan.

“Since our nuclear policy is transparent and legal, we will start activity upon delivering the letter to the IAEA, with the inspectors in attendance,” Asefi said.

Later Sunday, Melissa Fleming, a spokeswoman for the Vienna, Austria-based IAEA, told the AP the agency had not received any official notification from Iran about resumption of activity at the Isfahan facility.

Given the cluelessness of the International Atomic Energy Administration (IAEA) in the past regarding Kim Jung Il’s “now-you-see-it-now-you-don’t” nuclear weapons program, is it any wonder we don’t have much faith in the Iranian statements regarding how benign their enrichment program is?

And speaking of the North Koreans, while the 6 party talks have resumed, Kim has already made it clear that the way to a nuclear free Korean penninsula is a guarantee by the United States not to invade:

Striking a peace treaty to replace the armistice that ended the 1950-1953 Korean War would resolve the nuclear crisis on the Korean peninsula, a spokesman for North Korea’s Foreign Ministry said on Friday.

The comments, carried by the North’s official KCNA news agency, came before a meeting of regional powers in Beijing on Tuesday for talks aimed at dismantling Pyongyang’s nuclear weapons programmes in exchange for security guarantees and economic assistance.

“Replacing the ceasefire mechanism by a peace mechanism on the Korean peninsula would lead to putting an end to the U.S. hostile policy toward the DPRK, which spawned the nuclear issue and the former’s nuclear threat,” a foreign ministry spokesman said in the report carried by KCNA.

According to this very interesting analysis via the Army War College, the North Korean regime is building nukes to ensure its survival but also to prove itself a serious, grown up country that deserves more respect than it’s getting. As soon as they stop saying that Kim wasn’t born but that he “fell from heaven” then I’ll start taking them seriously.

That said, it’s obvious that North Korea too wishes that the United States military not invade. In exchange, they’re willing to forgo building nuclear weapons, sign a peace treaty, and generally act like good little members of the international community.

Or, they plan on lulling the United States and the rest of the world to sleep while they continue to evade the weak efforts of the IAEA to keep the lid on their nuclear program, something they have a lot of experience in doing.

The point here is that both Iran and North Korea have no incentive whatsoever to stop building nukes as long as the rest of the world goes along with their “non-agression” plans. Once the world community turns their backs on Kim and the mad Mullahs, I have no doubt that they plan to resume their weapons programs. In the meantime, the rest of the world gives itself a stiff neck by trying hard to pat itself on the back for it’s work in stopping the “Axis of Evil” from acquiring nuclear weapons.

Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei as well as the ruling Guardian Council by all reports have just fixed a Presidential election so that a handpicked hard line terrorist Mahmoud Ahmadinejad could be elected. Recent statements from the President-elect include a promise to carry the Islamic revolution to “every mountaintop” as well as his almost unnoticed campaign to militarize and radicalize the country by placing hard line allies in key positions.

Iran is preparing for a war and wants a treaty of “non-agression?”

The news that Iran will continue with its enrichment program will not sit well with the Israelis who have made it very clear that a nation that has consistently called for its destruction will not be allowed to build an atomic weapon. Nor can we in the United States afford the luxury of allowing a state that openly supports terrorist groups like Hamas and Hizbollah not to mention their demonstrated affection for al Qaeda to build a nuclear weapon that could end up in the hands of terrorists who wouldn’t hesitate using it against us.

The actions taken by Iran in the last few months would seem to indicate that any “non agression” treaty with them would ring as hollow as Hitler’s non agression pact with Russia. The same hold’s true with North Korea. The fact is, neither can be trusted. This is especially true if we’re forced to rely on international organizations like the IAEA to make sure those two nations are keeping their end of any bargain.

Will we delude ourselves about Iran and North Korea the same way that Stalin deluded himself about Hitler’s Germany?

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