Right Wing Nut House

2/16/2008

HILLARY CONCEDES WISCONSIN

Filed under: Decision '08, OBAMANIA! — Rick Moran @ 7:09 pm

Hillary Clinton’s campaign is pulling out of Wisconsin a day early according to press reports:

Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton has scaled back her Wisconsin campaign schedule by a full day, and is now planning to leave the state after Monday morning instead of Tuesday morning.

The move suggests the campaign does not think it can overtake rival Barack Obama here. Obama has already campaigned in the state Tuesday night, Wednesday, Friday, and today. He also has single events planned for Sunday (Kaukauna) and Monday (Beloit).

While the two have exchanged hard-hitting TV ads here, Obama began airing ads a week earlier and has spent much more on TV.

Today is Clinton’s first day of campaigning in the state, with an event in Kenosha and a state party dinner in Milwaukee, where Obama also will appear. Clinton will campaign Sunday in De Pere, Wausau and Madison, and is expected to do one event in the state Monday morning before leaving.

All the polls that have come out in the last week show Clinton within 4-5 points of Obama. Why then, is she pulling up stakes and abandoning the state when she’s within striking distance?

Obama has won the last 8 primaries by double digits - the last three by margins of 3-1 and 4-1. Perhaps Clinton’s internal polling is showing another double digit disaster looming and rather than waste resources on a lost cause like Wisconsin, better to spend time and money in Ohio and Texas where she has put her campaign out on a limb by saying she needs to win both states to stay viable.

If, as expected, she loses Wisconsin - and loses big - she will have two weeks to watch Obama work his magic in Texas and Ohio. She will be outspent and outgunned everywhere by an Obama organization that suddenly can do no wrong. It is very possible that her own double digit poll leads in both states will vanish and by March 4 Hillary Clinton will be fighting for her political life.

Can she hold off this juggernaut anywhere? It seems that as each succeeding contest moves to the fore in the Democratic race, Obama’s numbers skyrocket and hers plummets. It’s as if once voters start to concentrate on a race, they abandon Hillary like yesterday’s stale donuts and attach themselves to Obama’s crusade.

Frankly, unless she can level the playing field, she’s toast. And by level the field I mean she has to find a way to bring Obama’s campaign back down to earth from that elevated, ethereal plane it currently occupies - somewhere between a religious movement and a revolutionary army.

Otherwise, the same thing will happen in Texas and Ohio that has happened in Wisconsin and elsewhere; Obama will play do his pied piper thing and the Democrats in those states will follow him to the polls.

How do you defeat a political phenomenon? If you find out, you better tell Hillary quickly because she’ s running out of states - and time.

9 Comments

  1. So this means the Hildabeast is going to get mean soon. Well its nice to see someone with balls. On this basis alone she is more qualified than McCain who can’t decide what party he belongs to.

    I wonder what platitudes Osama is going to offer us, quick my salts I think I have the vapors now that Saint Osama is so near.

    Comment by Thomas Jackson — 2/16/2008 @ 11:30 pm

  2. Clinton frequently uses earmarks to benefit New York…

    Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., helped secure more than $340 million worth of special home stat…

    Trackback by Unpartisan.com Political News and Blog Aggregator — 2/17/2008 @ 12:11 am

  3. Two reasons:

    - Once one factors in the much-larger-than-average independent vote (Wisconsin is a wide-open primary state where only the voter knows which primary he or she particiaptes in), Obama crushes her. The usual suspects do not factor that in fully, mainly because it is all-but-impossible to quantify because there is no party registration here.
    - Even if Clinton pulls off the upset, Obama will get more delegates. Obama will rout her in the 4th Congressional District (city of Milwaukee) to get at least 5 of the 6 delegates there, and should take the 1st (significant black populations in Racine and Janesville) and 7th (significant student populations, and at least partially influenced by Minneapolis media). If Obama also takes the delegate-rich 2nd (8 delegates in the People’s Republic of Madistan) or the 5th (one of two districts with only 5 delegates, the other being the 6th), Clinton would have no chance to win the popular vote, much less by the 3.8 percentage points needed to guarantee at least 2 more of the 26 statewide delegates than Obama.

    That isn’t stopping me from running the NRE Spring Hill campaign, which has but 3 rules; vote for Clinton on Tuesday, shower afterward, and do not repeat in November.

    Comment by steveegg — 2/17/2008 @ 10:22 am

  4. If Obama wins WI/HI, the upcoming debates will be Hillary’s last chance to turn the tide. However, Obama’s debate performances have improved, and he’s no fool - he KNOWS she will come to the next debate ready to FIGHT and throw mud (Her WI attack ads have given him a preview).

    This won’t be pretty.

    Comment by sue — 2/17/2008 @ 1:32 pm

  5. There are blizzard warnings in much of the state right now, so nothing is gonna happen in the way of quality campaign stops. I’m not sure that the press can cover anything until mid-tomorrow given their inability to get out on the roads, and the necessity of covering all of the weather-related news.

    So, as much as I’d love to see this as a sign that Hillary is weakening, I’m more likely to see this one as a weather-related deal.

    Comment by geek49203 — 2/17/2008 @ 2:40 pm

  6. She also seems to be spending some amount of effort trying to get her Florida delegates seated. Over the weekend U.S. Rep. Corrine Brown, a superdelegate, and a Hillary supporter, was in all the media ranting about how the people of Florida were being disenfranchised. Brown is pushing for the delegates to be recognized. Maybe Hillary thinks the 180 or so delegates here would be easier to get.

    I also wonder what the people of Brown’s district, which is one of those segregated districts the Voting Rights Act forces on the South, will think of her not supporting the first African-American with a legitimate shot at the presidency. Obama won her district by more than 2-1.

    Comment by Juan Paxety — 2/18/2008 @ 7:39 am

  7. I think she might just be admitting what most people have assumed by now. The primaries are no longer important from a political point of view. Things are so close right now that the Democrat candidate is almost certainly going to be chosen only in the convention. There’s no point in taking a near defeat, and by conceding she takes the wind out of Obama’s victory. From this point onward all the primaries will be psychological in impact, they still have the power to convince people about how viable campaigns are, but Clinton I think just weakened the psychological impact of Obama’s probable victory.

    Comment by Rand — 2/18/2008 @ 11:42 am

  8. Dang it all! I was so looking forward to listening to her tell of when she was a little girl -her grandmother taught her how to make cheese while her grandfather taught her all there is to know about spearing sturgeon through the ice.

    Oh Well!

    Comment by Don L — 2/18/2008 @ 11:52 am

  9. It’s time to speak out about the politics of health. I am an ardent HILLARY CLINTON supporter, for many reasons. I sincerely believe that she is the most qualified candidate to lead the country – based in no small part on her remarkable record of public service, her depth of character and her unparalleled, intimate knowledge of the workings of the our government at the executive level. We have a rare opportunity to make a superb choice for President, and it must be HILLARY CLINTON.

    But first a few words to claims that electing HILLARY will mean more of the “same old thing”. I, for one, would relish a return to the prosperity of the 1990’s - and urge all of you who appreciate a balanced budget, economic growth and responsible governance to speak out in favor of HILLARY CLINTON, who can bring this back to us.

    Equally important to me is the issue of health care. Here’s what I like about HILLARY and her intelligent approach to the obesity crisis: she wants to quality health coverage for all Americans via a 7-step strategy for lowering spiraling costs. I know all too well that premiums have almost doubled since 2000 - up 87 percent – as I provide health insurance for my company’s employees, and my family. We need Senator Clinton’s plan to cover all Americans because it will require the reform of our often irrational, inefficient and wasteful policies. She’s been through the wars on this issue, and can get it passed.

    I implore all of you who feel the same as I do to speak out, get involved and be active in your support of HILLARY CLINTON – help her get elected, and she will help all of us live well.

    Comment by Jackie Keller — 2/19/2008 @ 1:13 pm

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