Comments Posted By zwhite
Displaying 11 To 20 Of 20 Comments
McCAIN NOW CROWNED "MR. INEVITABLE"
As Bill said, it's not looking good for McCain today, but as we saw in NH anything can happen. It seems he can lose either MI or SC but not both. If he wins both, he could win FL, and if he does that, it's nothing but taillights.
RM: "Romney just went back on the air in South Carolina so it is evident he feels a win in Michigan puts him right back on top"
uh... I guess it could put him "on top", but it can't put him "back on top" cuz he's never been near the top. McCain and Rudy had national name recognition long before the race started; Flip's (failed) early momentum strategy was all about establishing national name recognition that he needs but doesn't have (has he ever been about the teens in national polls?).
Comment Posted By zwhite On 15.01.2008 @ 16:01
Fred's up 0.1 to 4.2 in SC on intrade! WOOHOO!!
Comment Posted By zwhite On 15.01.2008 @ 10:57
Careful, Rick, you don't want to start sounding like Hugh Hewitt (though you'd have a very long way to go :). If you've had time to write about it, then intrade.com has had time to digest it (among other things) At 6:38pm est:
McCain 53 (+14.6)
Huck ('Field') 40 (-10.5)
Fred 5.0 (-2.5)
Mitt 3.1 (-2.3)Of course the market can be wrong as it was w/Hillary in NH, and it all changes based on MI results. I can see McCain or Huck getting a SC bounce out of MI, but I don't quite see how Fred gets a bounce.
I think I'll stick to my previously-written obit.
Comment Posted By zwhite On 14.01.2008 @ 18:42
BLOGBURST FOR FRED: MAN THE OARS AND START PULLING
In Fred's defense, a southern conservative never does well in NH, and a libertarian often does. Fred says SC is his firewall, but McCain will do well there because of his military background and Huckleberry will take most of the rest. Romney has already pulled out of SC, though maybe that helps Fred a little.
While I admire Fred's attitude about not being desperate to be president, he can't win that way. He's sort of like W in that he has a life outside politics, but W knew he either had to run like hell or forget it. I think Fred knows he can't win this way but doesn't care. Saying all the right things and having good, well-defined ideas does no good whatsoever if you don't win. Fred's toast.
Comment Posted By zwhite On 10.01.2008 @ 13:31
"I knew that the Obama boomlet was media inspired and yet I ended up being seduced, stripped, and finally screwed by my own hubris."
Don't be too tough on yourself. Just about every poll was far outside the margin of error for O'Bomma. I doubt HRC believed she'd pull it out. I'm probably the billionth one to say it, but never, ever count the Clintons out (though I also did for NH).
There was alot of money made and lost on intrade yesterday (which also appeared to follow the conventional wisdom).
Unless Hussein turns into an absolute grassroots juggernaut (where it had seemed to be heading before last night), he'll be shreaded by the Clinton machine, and failing that, the vast rightwing conspiracy. At least that's my hope.
Comment Posted By zwhite On 9.01.2008 @ 13:38
HILLARY EXIT NOT IMMEDIATE BUT PROBABLY INEVITABLE
It seems naive to think the tears were anything but another tactic in the 'humanization of hil' effort.
I read somewhere the hil campaign decided not to use a massive negative ad campaign in NH because there wasn't enough time for it to be effective and too much risk of blowback. She has plenty of money for this in FL and you can bet it will be vicious--the worse things look, the more vicious it will be.
There is no reason in the world for hil to quit now and many reasons to stay in:
1. She's the only one on the ballot in Michigan, a big state2. There are few winner-take-all states on the Dem side, so she doesn't fall that far behind in actual delegates.
3. She probably has a good share of the super delegates
4. She has money
5. This is her only shot to be queen--she'll never go down any way but kicking and screaming (look at all the 'gates they've come through (filegate, travelgate, monicagate, rosegate, s&lgate, fostergate...). These people just do not quit. She will somehow take this all the way to the convention even if she's behind. And if there's a way to steal it, she will.
Comment Posted By zwhite On 7.01.2008 @ 16:28
COULD CONSERVATIVES WORK WITH A PRESIDENT OBAMA?
The libs are being exposed on every front:
1. in the '90's it was welfare reform (the official end of the ill-conceived "war on poverty")
2. The nutbag anti-war movement
3. lowering tax rates results in more revenue, not less
4. The Pali Arabs aren't really terrorists, they just want their stolen land back so they can live in peace
5. Government health care sucks everywhere (except maybe Kuwait and Saudi if you're a muslim male); Canadians who can afford it come here for major surgery etc.
Next to go will be the whole carbon footprint/man-made global warming BS.
O'Bomma is not different...he's just another arrogant progressive who thinks he knows what's good for the rest of us. He has to be stopped.
It's starting to seem like 'rightwing' is a misnomer; how about RINO nuthouse?
Comment Posted By zwhite On 7.01.2008 @ 10:51
CHENEY/COULTER '08
Regarding Fred, I like his don't-try-too-hard approach, but it's a good thing for him he doesn't care whether he loses.
As Bush 41 once said (I can't quote exactly): We've created a process where the type of man it takes to win the election is not a guy you'd want as president.
Comment Posted By zwhite On 3.01.2008 @ 13:32
McCain might be a RINO, but he's also a first class hawk (unlike Chafee, Snowe, et al). I don't like the amnesty thing, but I think he got the message last summer and won't try it again. The McCain/Feingold free speech argument seems like utter nonsense to me.
Will Ron Paul run in the general and get enough votes to take down the republican candidate the way Perot did? If Bloombird runs will that hurt the Demonrats or the Pro-America GOP more?
Comment Posted By zwhite On 3.01.2008 @ 13:26
KILL THE MESSENGER! OR IS THE MESSAGE ALREADY DEAD?
I think your "poor efforts" have been outstanding. Thanks.
" - a recognition that conservatism needs to have its best and brightest strike out and find new ways of defining what it means to be a conservative in 21st century America"
I can't imagine how it's helpful to define what it means to BE something. I'd rather have the best and brightest analyzing jihadi internet traffic. I used BE a "liberal democrat" till I discovered it's all great society horsepoop. Bush claims to BE a conservative but he's definitely not an idealogue, otherwise we wouldn't have 'no child left behind', a huge push for amnesty, a tera-buck prescription drug program, Clintonesque deal-making with the Norks, and perhaps a nation-building program in Iraq. [Now John Bolton is a real conservative.] But I like Bush despite all the mistakes because almost anyone else would have caved on Iraq with disastrous results. What I'm saying is, I've decided not to BE anything (though the looney left would probably call me a fascist). For example, I could support Guliani because the struggle against the beheaders is paramount. The main thing is to make the main thing the main thing.
I think you comment on the free market fixing miners' working conditions is exactly right. The free market can take care of most things, but not all. I'd never want to abolish OSHA, but the Dept. of Education is a different matter.
Comment Posted By zwhite On 24.10.2007 @ 11:18
